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Unit 1 · Level 1 · The four demons, up close

Fear: why we sell bottoms

Brain scans show financial losses lighting up the same regions as physical danger. The amygdala fires in milliseconds and screams SELL; the prefrontal cortex (the part that does math) needs seconds you don't feel you have. In March 2020 the S&P 500 fell roughly 34% in five weeks, and many investors sold right at the bottom… just before one of the fastest recoveries ever.

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What you get asked

  1. Match each player to its role in a panic

    Fear will always fire first. That's biology. The plan exists so the fastest voice in your head isn't the one holding the sell button.

  2. In March 2020 the S&P 500 dropped roughly 34% in five weeks. What happened to investors who panic-sold at the low?

    The index reclaimed its old high within about five months. Selling didn't remove the loss. It made it permanent.

  3. Selling into a panic doesn't remove the loss; it ___ it.

    A drawdown is a number on a screen until fear makes you realize it. That's the moment a temporary decline becomes your permanent result.

  4. A stock fell 50%, from €200 to €100, and fear says sell. If you hold instead, what % gain does it need from €100 to get back to €200?

    Down 50% needs +100% to recover. Losses and gains aren't symmetric. That asymmetry is exactly why obeying fear near lows is so expensive.

  5. What actually beats fear in the moment?

    Willpower loses to adrenaline; the Trading course's conclusion holds here too. Stops, rebalancing dates, and do-nothing defaults let calm-you overrule scared-you. 🐜

The rest of this unit

FOMO, fear, greed, hope: meet the voices that trade your money for you.