Unit 4 · Level 3 · Reading the macro calendar
Building a macro dashboard
Three leagues of macro compress into one dashboard: policy rates and the yield curve (the price of money), CPI prints (inflation), the VIX (fear), the dollar index (global stress), oil and copper (the real economy), credit spreads (bond-market worry). None of them predicts the future. Together, they tell you which REGIME you're in. Regime, not forecasts, is what you can use.
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What you get asked
Match each dashboard gauge to its signal
Each gauge covers a blind spot in the others: rates, fear, credit and the physical economy on one screen.
The point of a macro dashboard is:
League 2's lesson stands: forecasting has a graveyard. Regime detection is humbler than prophecy, and far more usable.
A sharply rising ___ index often signals global funding stress.
The world borrows in dollars, so a surging dollar squeezes debtors everywhere. It's a stress light borrowed straight from the risk-off unit.
Your dashboard shows: yield curve inverted, but VIX low and credit spreads tight. Best reading:
Gauges disagree all the time; that IS information. A warning light plus calm pricing means: stay invested, stay humble, stay watching.
The graduate's deepest macro lesson:
You now own the whole toolkit: money, rates, cycles, flows, commodities, calendars. Use it to know what weather you're in, not to pretend you're the forecast. 🐜
The rest of this unit
CPI day, Fed day, jobs day: learn to read the week's big prints like the pros do.